Tuesday, September 24, 2024


Political ambition may endanger our energy costs for a long time

Robert Gottliebsen

The intense political pressure to win the renewables/climate debate is now creating great danger to Australia’s long term energy costs.

Both the ALP government and the Coalition are setting themselves on a path that, unless modified, could make us a high cost poorer nation unable to afford current social services.

To accuse both major political parties of getting it wrong is obviously a big call for a commentator, but when you’ve been around six decades, you get a sixth sense that tells you when politicians are aiming at elections.

My justification for these statements start with clear facts:

* Both the ALP and the Coalition attempted to reduce emissions with major projects, which have failed. The Coalition’s attempt via Snowy hydro is plagued with exploding costs and delays.

The ALP’s equivalent disaster is massive wind and solar farms in rural areas where the farmers are white-hot with anger, and that anger is multiplied many times when the projects attempt to bring power to market through some of Australia’s best rural and tourist areas with ugly transmission towers. When projects don’t have community support, they normally fail and end in courts to enrich lawyers.

* Given the above big project disasters, the target of reducing emissions by 43 per cent by 2030 is simply not achievable, and politicians who claim it can be done are either lying or ignoring the facts.

* We now have more major project plans where have not learned either from the above two disasters or from the projects that have worked.

One idea is to connect Tasmanian power to the mainland. This was originally a pre-election, a Coalition plan. The costs are becoming monumental and it simply not feasible on present technology.

Victoria is planning an uneconomic Bass Strait wind farm, and NSW has a similar project offshore from the Hunter Region. Victoria is the most advanced, and it is being erected in the middle of a global wind farm boom with costs will saddle the state with uneconomic power for a generation. While there is debate about nuclear costs, there was no proper debate about the enormous cost of uneconomic offshore wind projects. This reflects very poorly on the media and on the opposition.

Subsidies of around $4bn and $5bn a year to generate big profits for the project investors are on the table.

The most promising technology is nuclear, and the world is now spending vast sums to adapt it to current conditions. In the UK, Rolls-Royce has joined nuclear development. We don’t have to commit at this stage, but we can undertake preliminary cost estimates that show that nuclear is far cheaper than offshore wind. But both technologies are likely to improve dramatically in the next two or three years.

It is completely ludicrous to ban any technology, as the ALP has done with nuclear.

While the world has decided that nuclear looks the best option, we don’t have to race in and commit to nuclear at this stage. After two disasters, it’s time to go for cheaper options that will be popular in the community.

* Arguably, Daniel Andrews led one of the nation’s worst state governments since federation. But he won three elections because he was one of the best “one-liners” in the country, and he embarked on an infrastructure program – removing rail level crossings – that worked.

The politicians in both major parties can actually learn from Andrews. Embark on projects that have community support and work. If you don’t do that and saddle the country with uneconomic power generation, the whole process of emissions reductions will be put in jeopardy, which is happening in many parts of the world, including Europe.

Here are some simple ideas that will work and will have popular appeal among Australians.

We have large areas of factory/warehouse roof space in all our capital cities. We should embark on a program of incentives that puts solar panels on every available factory/warehouse roof. They can be linked to the established network which will require alterations that are a lot easier and, cheaper than those destroying our countryside

And the investment can be used to improve the economics of home rooftop generation. It will attract capital investment.

There are areas near transmission lines where wind farms can be erected if the farmers are happy to sell their land or rent the space. There are many such areas around our cities.

One of Australia’s biggest and lowest cost gas deposit sits on the national pipeline but is being blocked by one person – Victorian Energy Minister Lily D’Ambrosio.

The deposit does require six wells to determine permeability, but the deep water in which the gas is dissolved can be used to promote irrigation and carbon reducing plantings to make Victoria’s on shore non fracking gas the lowest net emitting gas in the world.

Gas was always seen as an interim stage and our unique gas cannot only help the nation but gas fired power stations can replace ageing brown coal station with enormous reductions in emissions especially when combined with the use of water for stored carbon plantings.

Naturally, the Palestine/Green movement will oppose it, but I think Australians will understand the benefits. Selected coal eliminating gas power than works well with renewables helps us buy time so that we can actually undertake a major project whether it be nuclear, technology improved offshore wind or other global developments without the sort of disasters that have so far plagued our carbon reduction efforts.

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Mark Scott’s apology a step in the right direction, but he underestimated campus anti-Semitism

Peter Morgan

Mark Scott’s apology to Jewish students and staff of the University of Sydney at the Senate inquiry into anti-Semitism on Australian campuses is an important step in the resolution of the issue. Professor Scott’s primary responsibility is the welfare of students and staff at his institution. I believe without doubt he takes this responsibility very seriously indeed.

My feeling is that he underestimated the level and the nature of the anti-Semitism that was being expressed in the wake of the Hamas attack of October 7. While he acted in what he considered the best interests of staff and students in attempting to manage the situation, it was clearly too little, too late. He tried to take control without escalating matters among a group of young people whose feelings ran much higher than their understanding, let alone involvement, in the political situation of Israel, Hamas or the population of Gaza.

I don’t believe that Scott recognised the level of anti-Semitism that was being expressed, or comprehended how it was expressing itself in the guise of support for the Palestinians. With his background in the secondary education system, the print media and the public service, he came to Sydney University with relatively little experience of the tertiary environment.

The students involved belong to an age-group that is articulate, aggressive and often ethically self-righteous in seeking causes and testing their limits. Their schooling seems to have left them ignorant of historical detail of even major events such as the Holocaust, let alone the founding of the state of Israel or the activities of Hamas. Moreover they have been manipulated and encouraged by some insidious academics and other figures who can hardly be excused on the basis of age or ignorance.

As a staff member whose lecture on May 14 this year was disrupted by aggressive and menacing student protesters I repeat my thanks to the university for its attention to my wellbeing in the aftermath of the event. Scott met with me days after. He asked me about aspects of the situation as I saw it, and asked me in particular about my understanding of anti-Semitism from a professional viewpoint. Those who have no more than a fleeting knowledge of this history may not understand its prolonged consequences into following generations.

The issue at the University of Sydney was clear: the targeting of Jews on the basis of ethnicity as complicit in what was being described by this group as “genocide”. This was not about calm, objective, reasoned or informed debate. It was characterised by shouting, haranguing and accusing of those who did not join in the chorus of protest at Israeli actions with little or no mention of the role of Hamas and the Palestinians themselves. The self-presentation of the pro-Palestine protesters was threatening and should have been stopped much earlier. That much I myself saw and heard.

Many of the students and staff at the University of Sydney are the grandchildren, if no longer children, of Holocaust survivors. It was and is unconscionable that they should be subjected to anti-Semitism of any sort, let alone this accusatory and menacing behaviour. Those pro-Palestinian protesters identifying and verbally harassing and menacing Jewish students and staff needed to be brought to understand that the way in which they were supporting the Palestinian cause was ill-considered and damaging to Jewish fellow students and staff members.

Since that incident I have been approached by both staff and students of the university who, like myself, are not Jewish and are both appalled and disturbed by what our campus has become known for.

In this Scott acted too little and too late. He has accepted and apologised for this and his apology should be accepted. Those of us involved at the University of Sydney will continue to support Jewish staff and students and to speak out when and if we see casual or orchestrated anti-Semitism.

To make good on his apology, Scott will need to continue to be receptive to and act in the best interests of staff and students in this and other potential cases of the targeting of any particular group in the university community.

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Why dumb politics has finally killed off smart policy

Former treasurer and prime minister Paul Keating had many good lines. But my favourite is this: good policy is good politics. It might not have the invective flair of some of his others but it is a very important proposition that guided most of his political life.

Sadly, we have come to a point in our history where it is difficult to sustain the accuracy of the statement. Now it’s all about politics, with good policy being regarded as a secondary consideration or not relevant at all. The decline in the quality and the fragmentation of media coverage have facilitated this shift.

Keating was also a believer in consistent and unremitting communication, carefully explaining the policy issues to voters and the preferred solutions. Not all reforms are necessarily obvious to people, in part because the benefits of the existing arrangements are often concentrated in the hands of well-defined groups, while the costs are spread over very large numbers. The case for reducing tariffs and other forms of protection requires careful explanation, for instance.

To make the case for change, the complaints of the potential losers must be addressed, and the broader gains must be outlined. The fact that it generally takes some time for the net benefits to become obvious makes good policy an artform that needs skilful and diligent implementation by exceptional politicians aided by highly competent bureaucrats.

A standout example is the introduction of the GST under the stewardship of Coalition treasurer, Peter Costello. The amount of preparation and explanation that went into that exercise was truly staggering. It’s hard to imagine a similar exercise being undertaken today. And don’t forget there was a complete restructuring of the income tax system as well as the elimination of several highly inefficient federal and state taxes and imposts.

If we think of today and focus on recent federal governments, save some minor exceptions, the only thing driving decisions is politics and how voters will react. Currently, there is no pretence that good policy is being pursued, particularly by the Treasurer but also in other portfolio areas.

Of course, identifying good policy must be the starting point for the application of Keating’s maxim. On the face of it, Jim Chalmers looks as though he has undertaken a few weeks of a wildly outdated Macroeconomics 101 course and reached all the wrong conclusions. He speaks like an old-fashioned Keynesian pushing propositions that have long been discredited.

Upon the recent release of the National Accounts, which revealed extremely weak economic growth, Chalmers leapt to the bizarre conclusion that “without government spending, there would be no growth in the economy”. It clearly didn’t occur to him that government spending is impacting on other spending in the economy, in particular investment but also consumption.

Nor did he care to mention that we have had six quarters of declining per capita growth, an outcome associated with the inflation unleashed in part by government spending as well as excessive growth of the population.

For Chalmers, it’s all about politics, about avoiding the emergence of a technical recession – two successive quarters of negative growth. He is also curiously dismissive of the slump in productivity. The National Accounts revealed productivity is now back to the 2016 level, having fallen by a massive 0.8 per cent in the June quarter.

But when Chalmers was questioned about this outcome, he batted the topic away, declaring it was a long-term issue, and that the government is (apparently) working on it. He utterly fails to understand the central role productivity plays in promoting higher living standards. Without a pick-up in growth, the Reserve Bank will have little choice but to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Chalmers’ lack of policy acumen was also on display last week when commenting on the decision by the Federal Reserve in the US to cut its official interest rate by 50 basis points. He talked about global uncertainty and weak economic growth. The real reason for the Fed’s decision was the fact inflation in the US is now comfortably within its target band and productivity there is growing at a very reasonable clip.

Chalmers is coming very close to undermining the independence of the Reserve Bank by hinting that Australia should be following suit as official interest rates are cut in several advanced economies. To be sure, the US acted rapidly to put up its rates, and to higher levels, when inflation first appeared – a contrast with the decision-making of our central bank. But there is a real message there: we should not expect the same experience on the way down as our inflation rate persistently hugs the 4 per cent level.

In case you think I am picking on the Treasurer, I would be the first to admit that politics is overwhelming the principles of good policy in many areas – think energy, industrial relations, migration. But the real point is that the Treasury portfolio has always been the engine room of reform, with Keating and Costello being the outstanding leaders in the field.

It is inconceivable, for instance, that Keating would have simply sat back and allowed the radical and productivity-sapping changes to industrial relations laws to be enacted. In fact, it was Keating himself who drove the shift to enterprise bargaining away from centralised wage determination, beginning with a historic speech he gave to the Australian Institute of Company Directors. One under-appreciated achievement of Costello was his willingness to reject entreaties for more federal government spending and embrace new areas of involvement for the federal government, with disability and public school funding being important examples.

He was very aware of the confusion of federal-state financial relations that would ensue as well as the pressure it would place on the federal budget. Sadly, the downsides he foresaw have come to pass as subsequent treasurers failed to resist the pressures from persistent interest groups.

It is astonishing, although warranted, that former ACTU secretary Bill Kelty should now openly criticise the Albanese government for its failure to enact good policy. “We need a Labor Party in which the big issues are confronted,” he said, going so far as to describe the government as being “mired in mediocrity”.

Kelty was an important wingman for Keating. And while the conditions no longer apply for an Accord-type arrangement, his commitment to constructive policymaking that would form the basis of higher living standards is simply not matched by the current leadership of the trade union movement. These days, ACTU secretary Sally McManus and her team are fixated on locking in as many legislative and regulatory favours as they can from the Labor government and hang any broader adverse consequences.

Can good policy once again become good politics? It seems unlikely. But given that decisions based on short-term politics will often lead to harmful long-term consequences, there may come a time when the political leaders of the day embrace the Keating rule again.

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On trial for opinion articles

Dr Jereth Kok has been suspended from practising as a doctor because of speech and thought crimes, and among his crimes is sharing Spectator Australia posts.

Dr Kok is a medical doctor who lives in Victoria, Australia. He is an upstanding member of the Australian community, and he is also a dedicated man of faith with strong principles that are guided by his faith in the Lord Jesus Christ. Even though Dr Kok, is a well-respected and competent medical professional with 15 years of experience, he was suspended by the Victorian Medical Board in 2019 after being targeted by an anonymous complainant. What was he reported for doing? It was certainly not medical malpractice.

As we said, Dr Kok is an upstanding and principled member of his community, and he has never received a single complaint from any of his thousands of patients he had treated during his career. His indiscretion was to share his informed – both medically and scripturally mind you – opinion on some of the more radical medical situations in our society on his private social media page where he speaks as a citizen of Australia. These are not things which impinge on his ability to do his job, at all. Yet, the Medical Board pursued selective complaints about Jereth’s social media posts discussing his personal beliefs on religious and political matters like abortion, marriage, lockdowns and transgender ideology.

Among his indiscretions was his promotion and commentary on articles shared by the Spectator Australia in recent years that have been challenging the radical gender ideology that has been rapidly marching across our society. These articles have been used as evidence against him in a conduct inquiry that is ongoing. Among these articles is a 2020 article for the Spectator Australia written by Leah Gray in which she discusses how in Victoria the government, at least in 2020, was happy to help people into the LGBT community, but not help them out of if they so choose.

As Dr Jereth says in his commentary,

‘I can’t think of many things more cruel than denying help to people suffering from unwanted passions, sexual brokenness, or a confused sense of self. Making it impossible for them to enlist the support of a pastor or other trained professional as they seek after wholeness of being, and righteousness of conduct.

‘What a disastrous irony that so-called “progressive liberals” would trample on people’s right to self-determination.’

Precisely what crime has Dr Jereth committed by sharing a deeply held belief among the majority of Australian Christians, that a person struggling with gender identity issues should be free to seek the counsel of a trusted pastor, Christian friend, church elder, or someone else, and not fear that they are putting that person in any legal jeopardy?

The other article that has been used against him as evidence is a 2020 article on the transgender minefield that many young people face in this modern world. This article was written by the notable and also incredibly principled Moira Deeming, who herself in recent years, has also come under pressure for ‘wrong think’ in Victoria.

In sharing these articles, Dr Kok was exercising his democratic right as both a Victorian, and an Australian, (yes, those two things overlap, even if we northerners joke sometimes that they don’t) to speak his mind on issues of both social and political importance.

I need to again stress that Dr Kok shared his opinion as a principled evangelical Christian, and his views sit well within the mainstream of Christian thought in Australia. He did not step outside his bounds as a citizen, or as a Christian, and yet the medical board is seeking to punish him. One would think with the crisis we have in the shortage of doctors and hospital beds in Australia that the medical board would not be seeking to investigate a doctor for his political or religious views. But here we are in modern Au-STASI-a, with a well-respected doctor being barred from doing his job for five years because of thought crimes.

It is not just Spectator Australia articles that have been listed as evidence for Dr Kok’s thought crimes. He has also been questioned for sharing articles from The Babylon Bee, a noted satire website based in the United States. Commentary by people like Mark Latham, Matt Walsh, Allie Stuckey and other noted commentators. And an article from Caldron Pool, a right of centre commentary site based in Australia. In fact, one of the articles used against him is an article written by myself, and three other Baptist ministers, during the crazy times we now call the Covid Years, about why Christian leaders should be doing more to fight for the conscience of their people.

In commenting on this article, Dr Kok says in part,

‘No believer in Jesus Christ must ever be coerced or compelled to act without faith, and therefore sin… Every Christian, and especially those who are called to be pastors and elders, must commit themselves to fight for liberty of conscience. A church which has little regard for conscience is a dead church.’

But his application of his faith and the principle of liberty of conscience goes far beyond just that situation and extends to every aspect of his life and belief. This also happens to be a right and privilege of being an Australian. Dr Kok lives in Victoria, so this legalisation below does not apply precisely to him in the same way, but the Queensland Human Rights Act of 2019 states,

‘(1) Every person has the right to freedom of thought, conscience, religion and belief, including – (a) the freedom to have or to adopt a religion or belief of the person’s choice; and (b) the freedom to demonstrate the person’s religion or belief in worship, observance, practice and teaching, either individually or as part of a community, in public or in private. (2) A person must not be coerced or restrained in a way that limits the person’s freedom to have or adopt a religion or belief.’

This is the law in Queensland, showing that the ideas that Dr Kok is expressing are not just mainstream Christian ideas, they are mainstream Australian ideas as well. The Spectator Australia has done a lot of great work seeking to defend these rights over the years, along with many other great Australian institutions, and it is beyond a travesty that sharing articles from this institution, or other similar commentary sites, should be used as evidence of misconduct in an inquiry against a principled Australian doctor. Being a vocal outspoken Christian and a doctor should not be a contradiction in terms, yet this very thing might become the case if the Medical Board of Australia succeeds in its prosecution of Dr Kok.

Remember also that Dr Kok is not just fighting for himself in this case. He is fighting for the right for other health professionals to express their deeply held religious beliefs publicly, and also their political views, something all Australians should have protections to do. I asked Dr Kok what it was like to face this trial and he said it ‘is very surreal, and unsettling, to be hauled over the coals for stating things that derive directly from my Christian beliefs’. He has had to cope with ‘unemployment, surviving on Centrelink payments and great uncertainty about the future’ and he has had to retrain in a completely different field to seek to provide for his family. Remember also that he has been torn away from patients with whom he has built a professional relationship with over the years, which is deeply painful for him. And consider the anxiety that this has caused for his patients who had their doctor taken from them. Don’t we need such a man in his role looking after his patients?

Defending yourself in this country from such things is very expensive, and Dr Kok has a great team of lawyers around him who are avidly fighting for his right to be reinstated. But he is in need of more funds to really fight this case to the end. As you now know Dr Kok has not been able to work as a doctor since 2019, and his family’s income has taken a serious hit because of this, and even still such a case is long, drawn out and very expensive.

Already with generous donations over $231,190 has been raised, but his legal team has determined that they need up to $330,000 to run a strong defence. This is not a voluntary lawsuit for Dr Kok, he is being forced to defend himself and he needs financial help to have this done as best as it possibly can. As anyone who has ever been to such a trial, or ever watched The Castle and any number of other good legal shows, knows, good legal representation is very expensive. If you are able, could you please consider donating to Dr Kok’s GiveSendGo campaign to help him fight this injustice.

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Can Common Values Hold in Australia?

Are we multicultural? Are we multiethnic? Are we multifaith? Should we ask for integration or assimilation from our immigrants? Is it still possible to be monocultural? In short, who are we as Australians?

These kinds of questions are simmering beneath much of the current banal commentary about immigration, hate speech, social cohesion, anti-Semitism, and yes, even the environment. I have regularly seen appeals for us to ‘tone down the rhetoric’, or to ‘help keep our liberal democracy’, or to ‘hold onto our common values.’

But certain social relationships need to be in place for such desires to be more than platitudes. “Toning down the rhetoric” is a nonsense if we wish to learn from deep debate with each other. Has there ever been a strong improvement towards what we now call ‘civil society’ without some kind of significant social disquiet and disruption caused by rigorous discourse? Every time I hear our leaders request calm in the face of difficult debate, what I hear is, “Please go away with your ideas – they make us uncomfortable, and we cannot think about them, or do not want to.” An actual response to the issue at hand would be refreshing. The response might even include taking action where legitimate to do so, or in simply engaging in the debate at the causal level.

The pleas to maintain our liberal democracy are also often vacuous. It assumes that everyone understands what that is. Not so – not even close. Did you notice the recent celebrations that teaching 11- and 12-year-olds about our system of government was coming back? Where has it been all these years, and what of those who missed out? What of those who will receive the message that our system of civic governance is an expression of white oppression anyway? (More on that another time).

I remember when schools had to publicly display the common values of Australian society. They took a while to establish, and of course, they disappeared as soon as we had a socialist Labor Prime Minister. Therein lies the hub of it all. Values cannot be held in common if beliefs are too far apart. For example, a Christian may wholeheartedly agree and work with a feminist (first wave) to protect women and children better. They can have this as a common goal, even though their reasons, based on their basic assumptions about life, may be very different.

But what if the latter-day feminist agrees that a woman can be a man who says he ‘feels like a woman’ (whatever that means – it is another of those postmodern constructions that implodes upon itself)? What if the feminist and Christian beliefs have become so different that they cannot find enough common ground for what good looks like?

Or what if one person’s belief system creates categories of people who are, by definition, less worthy than others? Extreme Islamists who demand Sharia law have such categories. So do those who believe primitive Indigenous custom is the most valid way of looking at life. The ‘Dreaming’, for example, can be used to completely change the science-based understanding of what ‘conservation’ means, because it mixes mythical narrative with scientific reason. Similarly, for critical identity believers, ‘white’ becomes a category worthy of less respect than any other, because regardless of individual merit, ‘white’ means belonging to the oppressor class – and ‘male white’ even more so.

What if Mother Earth worship is the new centre of beliefs? It is a strange mix of animism and environmentalism, with self-contradictory notions of cause and effect. Those promoting such belief are often ‘hard’ evolutionists. At times they brutally use the survival of the fittest belief to make dehumanising decisions (think sex-selection abortion, or euthanasia for mental distress), but at other times they casually dismiss the principle to promote their pet priorities – like saving a beached whale.

Into the future, what will Australia use to define what our values will be based on? The preamble to our current Constitution gives recognition of our historical base for certain belief assumptions as a Federated Nation – that what we put in place is done before the Creator God. Some might call this the Natural Law basis for our social contract. In American language, this is the basis for inalienable rights for each and every citizen, regardless of sex, age, social status, economic context, physical capacity, religious commitment or ethnic heritage.

As writers such as Tom Holland have reminded us, this kind of understanding is a minority understanding in the history of the world. Prior to Holland’s exploration into the Western mind, writers such as Rodney Stark, Vishal Mangawaldi, and Larry Siedentop clarified that universal respect was impossible outside of the Christian narrative, because this is the only consistent belief source where universal respect for the individual could be situated. They have each demonstrated, in different ways, that if you cannot attribute equal worth for all people amidst functional differences, then what we call Western civilization is impossible. Part of that story becomes the necessity for a legal system (representative parliament, separated from courts and police) to enforce such universal respect. Lawbreakers in this context uphold the respect for all people regardless of differences of beliefs and personal commitments.

But as we noted above, if personal beliefs vary to the extent that universal respect is challenged, then even the value of law becomes tenuous because its role becomes confused – how do they operationalise what is good for everyone if they must distinguish between categories of worth based on identity attributes?

Our current Prime Minister makes a good mini-case study to exemplify our current conundrum. His role is abstracted from the Constitution which situates its authority in an assumption of a belief in a created order for life. But he refused to take his oath on the historical source of that corporate belief – the Bible. Yet he willingly takes part in smoking ceremonies that celebrate the animistic Dreaming beliefs of some of our Indigenous people. He is also slow to fully condemn literalistic and violent versions of Islam.

I suspect he doesn’t know his role because he does not understand from where his authority is derived. It certainly does not come from Indigenous tribal custom, nor from Sharia law, nor from Mother Earth protectionism. In standing for everything, he seems to stand for nothing. And so, like him, we become confused about what he values because we do not know what he actually believes. Perhaps that is why I have read that he is quietly attending a Christian church a bit more frequently. And perhaps, just perhaps, that might be a good thing for all of us.

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All my main blogs below:

http://jonjayray.com/covidwatch.html (COVID WATCH)

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM)

http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://antigreen.blogspot.com (GREENIE WATCH)

https://westpsychol.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH -- new site)

http://snorphty.blogspot.com (TONGUE-TIED)

https://immigwatch.blogspot.com (IMMIGRATION WATCH)

https://john-ray.blogspot.com/ (FOOD & HEALTH SKEPTIC -- revived)

http://jonjayray.com/select.html (SELECT POSTS)

http://jonjayray.com/short/short.html (Subject index to my blog posts)

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Monday, September 23, 2024



How common sense has gone walkabout in woke Australia:

I had my first glimpse of King Charles back in 1970, when he, the late Queen, the late Duke of Edinburgh and Princess Anne came to Botany Bay in Sydney to ­celebrate the landing there, 200 years before, of Captain James Cook, who paved the way for the British settlement of Australia.

Along with 100,000 onlookers, including me as a child of seven, the Royals watched a re-enactment of Cook’s arrival, which even included a token challenge by a couple of Aboriginal warriors. It was a very happy day, bursting with national pride.

This was the tour during which the tradition of the royal ‘walkabout’ was born when Daily Mail reporter, Vincent Mulchrone, used the word to describe how the Queen and Philip interacted casually with crowds.

I revisited Botany Bay earlier this year, and it is now overgrown and neglected. The 250th anniversary passed in 2020 with barely any public acknowledgment. Any mentions of it were mostly hostile and shame-faced.

Cook’s landing place is a sad symbol of how Australia has changed so totally, in not so many years, from a nation proud and comfortable with its history since the British arrived, to one taught to be ashamed of that past and to see only the darkness in it.

Although royal walkabouts began on that tour, it is no surprise that, in 2024, Buckingham Palace dropped the term for next month’s royal visit to Australia and replaced it with the anodyne ‘opportunity to meet the public’. Apparently, the King does not want to offend Aboriginal Australians who, we are told, associate the word ‘walkabout’ with personal journeys of grief or self-discovery.

The Palace wouldn’t have changed its language nor agreed to the strongly Indigenous-slanted Australian itinerary of King Charles and Queen Camilla, without the approval of our left-wing prime minister Anthony Albanese.

He is the ultra-woke leader of the Australian Labor Party who, last year, held a disastrous referendum over a change to the Australian constitution which would have given a greater political voice to Aboriginal Australians. The proposal was crushingly defeated by voters.

You might imagine Down Under as a sunny ­larrikin paradise of Foster’s, Sheilas and Bruces, a land untouched by the wokery and ­cancel culture infecting the UK.

Far from it.

Since the turn of this century, Australia’s political and social elites have endeavoured to import ‘progressive values’, bound up in all manner of nanny state rules.

By far the most pernicious wokery relates to our history and Australia’s indigenous peoples. I say ‘peoples’ deliberately, as it’s now politically incorrect to talk of Aboriginal Australians as one group.

As some consider the term ‘Aboriginal’ to be a label invented by colonisers, we are now instructed to use the appropriated Canadian label, ‘First Nations’.

Of course, the struggles of indigenous people deserve recognition and Australia’s treatment of its original inhabitants since settlers first arrived in 1788 has been far from perfect. And the culture and heritage of Aboriginal people, who make up just 3 per cent of the population, enriches our country.

But increasingly, Australians can no longer speak about their cities without referring to their Aboriginal origins.

We are reminded constantly that Australia’s original settlement, Sydney, is on ‘Gadigal’ country, Melbourne on ‘Kulin’ country, and so on. There’s also a push to give major cities and towns dual names – my city of Melbourne apparently is called Narrm, and Brisbane is Meanjin – and there’s a raging debate over what ­Aboriginal name Sydney should be given.

In an Australian newspaper, an Aboriginal person when named, is also labelled by their ancestral tribal affiliations, such as a ‘proud Gadigal-Wiradjuri-Yorta Yorta person’. (The ‘proud’ is always in there perfunctorily, as the word is taken to symbolise the person’s not being ashamed of their ancestry in an Anglo-centric world.)

The woke obeisance goes further than that, though. There’s now an obsession with making ‘acknowledgements of country’ in just about any public sphere.

Fans of cult Aussie comedy series Colin From Accounts –whose second series has just landed in the UK – will have noticed the ludicrous announcement at the start of each episode: ‘Binge [the Australian streaming service] acknowledges the Traditional Owners and Custodians of the land on which this ­programme was produced.’

This is standard practice here for corporate meetings, ­announcements on planes ­landing in Australia, or even coach drivers picking up tourists.

They go like this: ‘We meet on the lands of the (tribal group) people, and acknowledge their elders past, present and ­emerging.’ The more zealous add the lands were ‘never ceded’. Even government offices and commercial businesses plaster the words prominently on their doors and walls to demonstrate how with-it and woke they are.

It’s reached the point of such tokenistic absurdity that an online parent-teacher meeting of my child’s primary school, called to discuss school uniforms and books, was prefaced by the headmistress with a mandatory acknowledgment of country.

This homage is now mandatory at school assemblies, often in a mystic recitation, inculcating our youngest Australians into the new received wisdom about oppressed Aboriginal people and the evils of ­European settlement.

A mini-industry has sprung up in which Aboriginal people perform ‘traditional smoking ceremonies’ before government, sporting and corporate events, to ‘cleanse’ the meeting spaces of evil spirits with smoke, music and chanting.

Of course, the acknowledgments and these ‘ceremonies’ merely give the – mainly white – audiences the opportunity to engage in ritual self-flagellation.

National pride is disparaged. Thanks to Prime Minister Albanese’s useful idiots, Australia Day on January 26 is targeted by hardliners, who noisily protest, vandalise Captain Cook’s statues, calling it ‘Invasion Day’.

Originally a celebration of the day the Union Flag was first raised in Australia in 1788, now it is an annual excuse for the media to be convulsed with debate all January over whether we should abolish it.

Then there’s our ­beautiful Australian flag. It’s no longer acceptable to fly it alone. It always has to be alongside the flags of the Aboriginal people and Torres Strait Islanders – Australia’s other main indigenous group.

You’ll never see a Left-wing ­politician like Albanese without at least those three flags behind him, usually with the Aboriginal flag most prominent.

Far-Left Green leader, Adam Bandt, was once so angry to be seen with the Australian flag at a press conference that he flung it in horror from his podium. And our national broadcaster, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, routinely plays Aboriginal music like the didgeridoo – treating it as equal to the works of Beethoven and Mozart. The didgeridoo has its place, but I fear this ‘celebration’ of Aboriginal culture often looks patronising.

The same is true of our national sporting strips, like the rugby ­Wallabies and Olympic team kits, which feature obligatory ­Aboriginal-style patterns in their otherwise traditional designs. Why? Because it’s expected.

Australia’s wokeness is ­demonstrated well beyond ­Indigenous causes.

For one, our elites have fully embraced the trans agenda. And thanks to a Federal Court of Australia ruling, the Tickle v Giggle – a name as absurd as its implications are serious – biological sex is now considered in law to be ‘changeable’, whatever you decide it is on any given day.

In my state of Victoria, as in most others, if a child wants to transition they can be prescribed puberty blockers by a doctor, and their school will treat them as their preferred gender without the need for Mum or Dad to be alerted.

Even Britain’s sobering Cass report, which showed in devastating detail how ‘gender re-­affirming’ treatments can do much more harm than good to young people, has not stopped the march of trans and gender-fluid ideology in Australian schools, institutions and even the media.

Drag queens read LGBT stories to children in public libraries. Pre-school children are introduced to woke concepts of gender from age three, and such teaching goes on through their school lives. To query this is to risk being labelled homophobic, transphobic and bigoted. Parents who do, or question other woke shibboleths, can even be banned from teacher-parent meetings, or supervised in them as if they’re social deviants.

Australia is one of the biggest nanny states in the world, utterly tied up in rules and regulations designed to protect us from ourselves. We’re particularly good at banning things: last week, the government, backed by the conservative Liberal opposition, announced that it will ban underage children’s access to social media.

Before that, they put a ban on e-cigarettes and vapes being sold anywhere but in pharmacies.

Well-meaning, maybe, but these bans are unenforceable or have worse consequences: the vape ban has led to a thriving criminal black market.

And who can forget the pandemic? Melbourne was, notoriously, the world’s most locked-down city. With varying degrees of willingness, most of us here submitted to curfews, mask and vaccine mandates, and a harrowing loss of liberty. We meekly carried out the orders of political and medical authority figures, even though they rarely had a clue what they were doing.

When protests did occur, they were ruthlessly suppressed by the police – unless for Black Lives Matter. We might largely have kept back Covid, but the legacy of social damage is irreparable.

Let’s be honest. In the past 20 years, particularly since the conservative John Howard lost office as Prime Minister in 2007, Australia has surrendered to the Left’s culture war, more so even than Britain.

The easygoing Australia of 1970 I remember fondly has long gone. In 2024 Australia, it’s ­common sense that has gone walkabout.

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Push for Australia Day backflip in one big city

An Adelaide council will debate whether to reverse its decision and move its Australia Day ceremonies back to January 26.

Unley Council will on Monday vote on a motion to move its citizenship and Citizen of the Year award ceremonies, after a majority of people polled supported backflipping on the council’s earlier decision to move the celebrations to January 25.

Earlier this year, the council asked residents for feedback on the issue, posting a poll on its website.

During the consultation period, 842 residents responded, with 60 per cent supporting a return to January 26.

Councillor Rebekah Rogers moved a motion to vote on the poll’s findings, with the council to vote on the proposal on Monday.

“We are, as a local government, responsible as a council to our own community in Unley.” Mayor Michael Hewitson told Nine News.

“We’ve got a whole range of opinions on council, just as there is across the community as a whole”

In 2022, the Albanese government made changes to the Australian Citizenship Ceremonies Code, allowing councils to hold its Australia Day ceremonies either on January 26 or within three days before and after.

This year, the City of Unley moved its ceremonies to January 25.

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Lame ducks Biden and Kishida and weakened Modi and Albanese meet to do nothing at the Quad

The Quadrilateral leaders’ summit in Delaware has broadcast a loud and resounding message of weakness, timidity, irresolution and pervasive lameness.

Four immensely diminished leaders met to do, and say, almost nothing.

US President Joe Biden is the lamest of lame ducks. Japan’s Prime Minister, Fumio Kishida, is about to retire. Narendra Modi, still by far the strongest of the four, now leads a weakened government after losing his absolute parliamentary majority at the last Indian election.

And Australia’s Anthony Albanese, struggling in the polls and facing an imminent election, is now practising diplomacy and international security along the lines of the three wise monkeys: see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil.

The problem is, the three wise monkeys approach doesn’t cut much mustard in constraining Chinese aggression in the Indo-Pacific.

Biden gave the game away in his hot mic moment when, thinking he was off camera and not being recorded, he declared to his three amigos that China was “testing us” and buying time to “aggressively” pursue its national interests.

The Quad leaders’ statement, though deploring all manner of aggressive and dangerous actions in areas like the South China Sea, didn’t mention China by name.

It’s as though aggressive and dangerous naval and air force manoeuvres, the illegal seizing of islands, the militarisation of seized and artificially created islands, and all the rest are like a bad weather system, with no identifiable cause, certainly no one to be held responsible, unless perhaps it’s climate change, the villain of all purpose?

Quad officials even claimed, with heroic and magnificent disregard for the truth, that the Quad was not directed at any other one single nation.

Here is a certain simple but profound contradiction: if the Quad is to be strong enough to prevent Beijing from militarily dominating the region but is too weak to mention China by name, why should anyone have real confidence about its strength?

It’s true that the Quad first came into existence in order to cope at speed with the Asian tsunami of 2004, but it quickly evolved into a security focused group.

Michael Shoebridge of Strategic Analysis Australia points out some of the initiatives announced by the Quad in Delaware are utterly microscopic, such as the US considering giving $1.5m to the World Bank, a sum of money equivalent in worth to a less than the price of family home in an outer-ring suburb in Sydney.

Similarly the Quad is now getting involved, albeit in a miserly way, with various good works, such as cancer research. But no one is seriously looking to the Quad to cure cancer. They are looking to it to have an effect on regional security.

Japan and to a lesser extent India have wanted the Quad to amount to something. The US has an institutional position of this kind as well, although this is offset to some extent by the dithering ineffectiveness of Biden and his recent investment in another round of meaningless personal diplomacy with the Chinese leadership.

Paradoxically, Canberra under the Albanese government has been leading the go-slow movement.

At regional gatherings to ponder the Quad’s future, the Japanese will sometimes emphasise further naval joint actions. The Australian representative most typically says that Quad partners must go to ASEAN and ask ASEAN what it would like the Quad to do.

ASEAN in a way is a good thing, but ASEAN-centric security structures have comprehensively failed in the region. Asking ASEAN – which moves only by consensus and a couple of whose members are completely dominated by Beijing – what to do is another way of saying you don’t want to do anything.

Which is just as well, because at the rate the Albanese government is letting the Australian Defence Force radically decline in capability, there’s almost nothing that we can do.

This Quad pioneered greater coast guard co-operation among its four members, but our tiny Border Force is overwhelmed already by its current security task and certainly has no room to expand.

Meanwhile, nobody knows what future role our new Offshore Patrol Vessels might play. Though built at great expense, not one has yet been accepted into service by the navy. In a characteristic demonstration of Australia’s defence incoherence, our OPVs, if they ever come into service, are as a big as a light frigate but carry effectively no weapons and do not have battle-worthy hulls.

The Albanese Government is all hat and no cattle in all security matters.

Alas, the Quad is now emulating this lamentable example. Nonetheless, it’s good that it still exists, even in this twilight incarnation. Perhaps a new American president, and a new Japanese prime minister, might breathe some life back into it.

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Energy entrepreneur says Australia’s solar and battery boom is a ‘clear and present danger’

Israel’s booby-trap explosions – inside walkie-talkies and pagers – that killed and injured Hezbollah operatives has sparked a chilling warning that Australia’s battery storage systems are vulnerable to similar attacks.

While Australia isn’t facing any active threats, Brian Craighead – chief executive of Energy Renaissance which has developed a “cyber secure battery management system” with the CSIRO to power defence bases – says Australia’s love affair with solar power, and cheap Chinese-made batteries, has left the nation exposed.

He says the “hidden threat to national security” is in the software of about 250,000 home batteries that have been installed across Australia – “220,000 of which are from potentially non-friendly” sources.

“These things are good until they turn bad,” Mr Craighead said.

“When everyone talks about battery safety, we tend to think about the chemical stuff – these fires that you see on videos of Tesla cars going up. But those are relatively unusual. The key thing to focus on is battery software … that’s what protects them from overcharging.

“Let’s say you were a bad actor from a bad country, here’s what you could do, and this would be horribly easy. For example, you could say on January 7, 2025, I’m going to turn off the overcharge on 200,000 batteries installed in homes in Australia. Nothing is going to happen until then.”

Mr Craighead said the batteries would then keep charging with solar energy, instead of “stopping at a certain point” and “overcharge is when all hell breaks loose”.

“Whenever you talk about battery problem, it’s because it’s overcharging. Consider that a standard home battery contains approximately 7,500 times more energy than a pager. The catastrophic potential if such a device were compromised is immense,” he said.

“A co-ordinated attack exploiting these vulnerabilities could lead to widespread fires, explosions, and a crippling of our energy infrastructure. The risk extends beyond individual homes. Large, imported grid-connected batteries are becoming integral to Australia’s national energy grid. These massive storage systems, often managed by foreign-developed software, could be susceptible to cyber-attacks or sabotage, posing a threat to national security and public safety.

“There’s a clear and present danger.”

The nature of the risk is similar to the one linked to the boom in “smart home” devices. Hackers have infiltrated devices from baby monitors to spy on families, webcams have been hijacked to take down computer networks, while home thermostats have been raised – given most lack the virus protection and security updates that are found in PCs and smartphones.

Hackers have infiltrated devices from baby monitors to spy on families, and webcams to take down computer networks,
Hackers have infiltrated devices from baby monitors to spy on families, and webcams to take down computer networks,
And when it comes to batteries, Ms Craighead said most people did not think of them as smart devices.

“We describe this as a malevolent actor issue but equally it’s just incompetence. Think of IoT (Internet of Things devices). They just plug them in and nobody maintains the IoT software, so that smart camera you have is massively open to a hack.

“Chinese batteries are being dumped into Australia at the moment – they’re not being sold anywhere else. So it’s probably just as possible that through sheer negligence and incompetence this cheap battery, whoever built it has gone or it has been rebadged three times. They’re not maintaining it.”

The US banned the Pentagon from buying batteries from six Chinese manufacturers earlier this year.

Mr Craighead said it was not too late for the Australian government to take action, urging them to mandate that batteries are cyber-secure and issue product recalls if they’re not.

Energy Renaissance developed a cyberscure battery management system with the CSIRO, which embeds security measures at the core of the battery’s operation, protecting agains malicious interference in the nation’s energy grid.

“There is an architecture to this. We went to CSIRO, and it cost us millions, because they were the only ones that Defence would trust to do it the right way. But nobody does that because the pressure is to get the cheapest batteries in, buy them from China, plug them in and off we go.

“If you said you wanted to store 100 cans of diesel in your granny’s garage, you’d probably think twice about it. But because it (a battery) is this little thing in a box that looks cool, you never really think about it in that way. Any everything I’m saying, just multiply it by 1000 or 10,000 when it comes to big batteries. It’s nuts.

“It’s like pink batts on steroids. That’s the level of risk we’ve got right now.”

Mr Craighead was referring to the Rudd government’s $2.45bn Home Insulation Program, which was axed in 2010 after it was linked to three deaths and more than 200 house fires.

“The tragic events in Lebanon serve as a sad reminder of the potential dangers lurking within unsecured technology. As Australia continues its transition towards renewable energy, we must recognise the importance of securing the systems upon which we increasingly rely.

“There is a path forward. We can mitigate these risks by embracing secure, Australian-made solutions and enforcing strict cybersecurity protocols. The power that fuels our lives should be a source of security and confidence, not vulnerability. Now is the time to act decisively.”

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All my main blogs below:

http://jonjayray.com/covidwatch.html (COVID WATCH)

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM)

http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://antigreen.blogspot.com (GREENIE WATCH)

http://pcwatch.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH)

http://snorphty.blogspot.com (TONGUE-TIED)

https://immigwatch.blogspot.com (IMMIGRATION WATCH)

https://john-ray.blogspot.com/ (FOOD & HEALTH SKEPTIC -- revived)

http://jonjayray.com/select.html (SELECT POSTS)

http://jonjayray.com/short/short.html (Subject index to my blog posts)

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Sunday, September 22, 2024


More black on black domestic violence

It happens all the time but it is only when the woman dies that it comes to attention

A killer who claimed a knife accidentally impaled his girlfriend in the neck had a history of violence against women, including pushing another partner while in her wheelchair into oncoming traffic, the WA Supreme Court has been told.

WARNING: This story contains details some readers may find confronting and the name and image of an Indigenous person who has died.

Christopher Thomas Dimer has been sentenced to life in prison with a minimum non-parole period of 20 years for murdering his partner Shauna Lee Rose Headland at a townhouse in the Perth suburb of Nollamara in March 2022.

Ms Headland's mother Janis told the court her daughter's murder had reverberated through the whole family. (Supplied)

Dimer had claimed a knife fell from where it was wedged into a window frame to hold up a curtain and went straight into Ms Headland's neck, telling police he had tried and failed to catch it as it fell.

He was found guilty of murdering Ms Headland in a jury trial earlier this year.

In sentencing, Justice Joseph McGrath, rejected Dimer's explanation of events, finding he instead had picked up the knife and stabbed Ms Headland during an argument which turned violent.

Ms Headland, a Yamatji-Noongar woman, was only 22-years-old when she and Dimer, now 42, began dating.

The court heard she had previously suffered domestic violence at his hands, including one instance where he drank a bottle of whisky and punched her repeatedly in the face at a Perth train station in 2020.

Dimer's history of violence against women

It was revealed in the WA Supreme Court today that Dimer had a more extensive history of violence against two other former partners, including an attack on another woman in 2020 and an instance in 2015 when he pushed his then partner into oncoming traffic while she was in her wheelchair.

He then claimed that woman had made the allegation up but ultimately pleaded guilty.

Dimer was sentenced in the WA Supreme Court on Friday after being found guilty of murder earlier this year. (ABC News: David Weber)

Ms Headland's mother and brother gave victim impact statements to the court describing the loss of Ms Headland as devastating and heartbreaking, saying loss had reverberated through their whole family.

Shauna's mother, Janis Headland, told the court since her daughter was killed she suffered from anxiety attacks, at times breaking down crying as she described her love for her daughter.

"If you had known my big girl, loving, caring, kind, put everyone before herself," Mrs Headland said.

"My baby deserved everything. She was only 26, she was only a baby, still growing up.

"She didn't have the chance to be a mother, see the world, have a career."

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Australia has mothballed a $550m tank fleet. Ukraine would like a word

Ukrainian soldiers could soon be using retired Australian battle tanks in their fight against invading Russian forces, as the Albanese government works with the Biden administration on a plan to send them to the battlefield.

This masthead can reveal that, after previously appearing to rule out providing tanks to Ukraine, the government is considering its request and working with the US to make the transfer happen.

One of the nation’s longest serving army chiefs joined calls for Australia to provide its old tanks to Ukraine, saying he was baffled why the decision to send them hadn’t been made already.

The July retirement of the 59 American-made M1A1 Abrams tanks, which were never used in combat and are being replaced by newer models from this month, has focused attention on whether they will be put into storage, disposed of or given to Ukraine.

This masthead revealed this week that the Ukrainian-Australian community was angry that decommissioned Australian military equipment, including long-range patrol vehicles and inflatables boats, was being auctioned online to motoring enthusiasts instead of being sent to Ukraine.

Bought for $550 million in 2004, the heavily armoured tanks weigh 63 tonnes each and are equipped with cannons and machine guns.

Ukraine has made formal requests for Australia to join the US, United Kingdom, Poland and Germany by donating tanks to help defend its nation. Earlier this year the government buried its fleet of MRH-90 Taipan helicopters rather than provide them to Ukraine as requested.

Peter Leahy, who served as army chief from 2003 to 2008 and oversaw the introduction of the M1A1 tanks, said: “I’m bemused why the tanks aren’t on offer to Ukraine.

“Although we are retiring them, they are a very competent tank, they should be well-maintained, there are spare parts available and the Ukrainians are very keen to get them.”

Leahy, the director of the University of Canberra’s National Security Institute, said: “We should put them on a ship and get them over there... I certainly wouldn’t want to see the bloody things destroyed or buried.”

After insisting in February that sending tanks to Ukraine was “not on the agenda”, Defence Minister Richard Marles has softened his rhetoric, raising Ukrainian advocates’ hopes.

“There are a range of capabilities that we are talking about with the government of Ukraine,” Marles said last month.

Government sources, who were not authorised to speak publicly, said Marles was exploring how the tank shipment could occur under the US defence export rules that apply because the vehicles are American-made.

Vasyl Myroshnychenko, Ukraine’s ambassador to Australia, said that tanks “are an essential part of our land defence, and our soldiers both need and want them”.

“If Australia makes them available to Ukraine either directly, or indirectly through the US, we will gladly accept them and put them to good use,” he said.

Stressing that Ukraine was grateful for the $1.1 billion in military assistance Australia has provided since the war began, he said: “All Ukraine is asking for is the opportunity to use military equipment Australia no longer needs.”

Opposition foreign affairs spokesman Simon Birmingham said: “Labor’s decision to bury rather than gift the retiring Taipan helicopters baffled many and must not be repeated with the Abrams tanks.”

Former senior Defence Department official Michael Shoebridge said: “These tanks are still in good shape. The Ukrainians are fighting a war for national survival so we should get them there as soon as we can.”

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Truth is, the misinformation battle may be unwinnable

Michelle Rowland, the Minister for Communications, is making ­another valiant effort to rein in the adverse effects of ungoverned digital platforms being able to post misinformation and disinformation, which causes serious harm to the community. She has introduced a revamped version of the government’s Communications Legislation Amendment (Combatting Misinformation and Disinformation) Bill 2024. The draft bill had to be comprehensively reworked when it solicited adverse comment from all quarters.

The minister has told parliament that the revised bill honours the government’s commitment to vest “the Australian Communications and Media Authority with new powers to ­create transparency and accountability around the efforts of digital platforms to combat mis- and disinformation on their services, while balancing the freedom of expression that is so fundamental to our democracy”. Finding that balance without even a statutory bill of rights is the challenge.

Basically, misinformation is inaccurate information. The draft bill now specifies that the inaccurate information has to be “reasonably verifiable as false, misleading or deceptive”. Misinformation becomes disinformation if “there are grounds to suspect that the person disseminating, or causing the dissemination of, the content intends that the content deceive another person”.

When introducing the draft bill last year, the minister tried selling it to the public with a couple of incontrovertible examples of unwarranted misinformation or disinformation causing serious harm.

She said: “And let’s be clear about the kind of harm we’re talking about here. This can be misinformation that actually results in people ignoring strong health advice. It can be misinformation that actually endangers lives by saying that a predicted pathway of a bushfire, for example, is going in another direction by publishing a fake map with emergency services branding. That is exactly the kind of behaviour that we are seeking to address with these new laws.”

This time around, the minister once again gave a couple of examples of serious harm to which no one could take exception: “Mis- and disinformation about the stabbing attacks in Bondi Junction and recently in Southport, UK, are just two examples that illustrate the need for digital platforms to do more to prevent and respond to its spread.”

The huge problem confronting government with this bill is that it purports not only to deal with these sorts of uncontroversial examples. Serious harm includes “harm to public health in Australia, including to the efficacy of preventative health measures in Australia”. But it also includes “harm to the operation or integrity of a commonwealth, state, territory or local government electoral or referendum process”.

It’s one thing to have ACMA reining in non-compliant digital platforms, run out of the US, to prevent serious health risks to Australians infected by disinformation on their platforms. It’s an altogether different thing to arm ACMA with the power to scrutinise whether things being said during an election campaign or referendum campaign are “reasonably verifiable as false, misleading or deceptive”, and intended to deceive.

Countries such as the US with a constitutional bill of rights or countries such as the UK with a statutory bill of rights are very unlikely to try applying this sort of regime to political speech. The US Constitution’s First Amendment provides that congress shall make no law “abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press”.

The UK Human Rights Act recognises that everyone has the right to freedom of expression: “This right shall include freedom to hold opinions and to receive and impart information and ideas without interference by public authority and regardless of frontiers.”

If these countries were to attempt the proposed Australian regime, the courts would strike down any attempt by the regulatory authority to censor political speech simply because it was false and because the regulator thought that such speech would harm the operation of the electoral process or of the referendum process. Even in Australia, the courts could well ­intervene. Even without a bill of rights, we enjoy the implied freedom of political communication set down by the High Court.

One has to ask: what is the evil that this part of the bill relating to political activity is wanting to stamp out? And would ACMA be able to stamp it out with the High Court standing idly by?

American disinformation expert Nina Jankowicz, author of How to Lose the Information War, was recently in Australia. She raised the alarm on 9000 digital ­accounts out of China that were ­active during the voice referendum campaign. She told Fran Kelly on ABC Saturday Extra:

“They were driving the No vote for certain. How effective they were is hard to say without looking at the data.” Speculating on the Chinese motivations, she said, “I think in particular not just to undermine Australian democracy because China of course has mining rights in Australia and a voice to parliament for Indigenous people could have affected that.”

Kelly then asked: “What’s the difference between what we understand is disinformation and what we all might recognise as political opponents telling untruths about the others’ policies or objectives or you know political dirty tricks?”

Jankowicz answered: “Disinformation is more deliberate and it’s more malign. What we’ve seen in particular around the voice campaign is the injection of noise into the debate to make people feel like they can’t know the truth, and in Australia that manifests itself in the slogan, ‘If you don’t know, vote no’.”

But hang on. There’s always an “injection of noise” in any referendum debate. Feelings are still raw with the voice referendum. So let’s think back to the 1951 referendum which was a showdown between the two finest constitutional lawyers ever to hold high political office in Australia: Robert Menzies and Dr H.V. Evatt.

Successfully opposing the referendum to extend the power of the commonwealth parliament to ban the Communist Party, Evatt and his colleagues approved a No pamphlet that stated: “The Menzies government is drunk with power and thirsts for still more power. Now is the time for you to stop Mr Menzies getting any more power. An emphatic “NO” majority will stop him before it is too late. Consciously or unconsciously, the Menzies government is heading fast towards totalitarianism in Australia. Play safe and preserve the Constitution as it now stands. Play safe and preserve the jurisdiction and authority of the High Court of Australia.”

Would Jankowicz class these remarks as disinformation? There’s much more noise and hyperbole in these remarks than in the simple statement: “If you don’t know, vote No”. During a fierce political campaign, one person’s disinformation is another person’s political credo of “whatever it takes”.

The dispassionate academics Murray Goot and Sean Scalmer concluded their 2013 study, Party Leaders, the Media, and Political Persuasion: The Campaigns of Evatt and Menzies on the Referendum to Protect Australia from Communism: “The campaign strategies of the two leaders were much as the contest demanded: each played to their strengths and sought to exploit their opponent’s weaknesses. If this meant adopting positions at odds with previous ­positions, talking past one another, introducing ‘extraneous’ matter, ‘scaremongering’ and so on, these were the turns the contest took.”

Presumably, Rowland will want to avoid the future prospect of an Evatt or Menzies having their comments posted on a digital platform in the heat of a political contest being reviewed by ACMA as possible disinformation.

The real challenge for the minister is that debating such a detailed bill without the backstop of a constitutional or statutory bill of rights recognising the right to freedom of expression, there are no clear guard rails for getting the balance right for “the freedom of expression that is so fundamental to our democracy”.

Ironically, the Coalition, which most opposes a statutory bill of rights, will agitate loudest against any possible interference by ACMA with the hallowed “freedom of expression that is so fundamental to our democracy”.

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Classroom classics revolution could save our failing society

Greg Sheridan

Nothing is failing in Western societies more completely, and more tragically, than school education. This is especially so in Australia. Billions upon billions of new dollars – Gonski funding, NAPLAN funding, state promises, federal commitments – and yet the results, even measured in narrow, utilitarian, technical terms, get ever worse and we sink further down the international education league tables.

We cram every ideological fad into the curriculum – safe schools, reconciliation, gender theory, race theory, decolonisation, peace studies, green worship, net zero hymns and devotions – yet division, alienation, even violence, spread.

Even as we’ve sometimes banned the use of mobile phones in school hours, we’ve flooded our schools with gadgets – laptops and iPads and endless, endless screens. But instead of producing citizens who master technology discerningly for their beneficial use, the memes and screens have fried our children’s brains, the relentless giddy, dizzy images, bright colours, dark colours, dopamine hits, changing images, fluid images, rapid image turnover, relentless distraction, have destroyed childhood, eaten adolescence and blighted young adulthood.

We’ve sub-let our thinking out to algorithms, and in the process all but abolished deep learning, while embracing the terror of the screens.

But there’s a way back.

Perhaps the most dramatic and hopeful development in all Western culture right now is the rapidly growing movement in the US, which is also gaining traction in Australia, for an approach of classical education in high schools. This is the same as what is often called the liberal arts approach.

It’s huge in the US, with 750-odd classical high schools and 100,000 students. Growing and growing.

It’s just getting started in Australia. I’ve been investigating this in recent months, on both coasts of the US and in three Australian states.

This is a road back to sanity, learning and truth in education. A road back to depth and texture in life. A road back to intellectual substance and enchantment.

If we’re lucky, these students will form eventually a leadership cadre in our culture.

What does classical education mean?

Mary Broadsmith, principal of Harkaway Hills College, a newish girls school in eastern Melbourne, which is not fully a classical school but has moved strongly in that ­direction, says: “We want students to pursue the good, the true and the beautiful.”

Frank Monagle, the founding principal last year of Sydney’s Hartford Academy (Ian Mejia is the principal this year), believes state education systems have a narrowly utilitarian ideology.

“The purpose of education was seen as getting a job,” he says.

“The true purpose of education is to help young people be the best young people they can be.”

Kenneth Crowther, the principal of the new St John Henry Newman School in Brisbane, which will take its first students in 2026, was a teacher for years before he embraced classical education.

“I realised there were deeper purposes around what it means to be a human being,” he says.

“We have this educational inheritance that we’ve rejected. I saw so much alienation. Fifteen-year-olds would say to me, ‘why am I studying Shakespeare, when will I use Shakespeare in a job?’

“This represented an ideology of utilitarianism, instead of seeing Shakespeare as a way to deeper meaning and purpose.”

Peter Crawford, academic dean of the US Institute of Catholic Liberal Education, whom I met in Napa, California, says: “The purpose of education is to teach children the art of being free.”

He adds: “A school first of all is a community.”

Claire Whereat, the secondary school head at Toowoomba Christian College, is another who, along with her school, which was established in 1979 and has 800 students, has been on a journey to a liberal arts approach. “We had to ask ourselves what is the purpose of education? The purpose of education is to form young people of wisdom,” she says. “A wise young person is able to engage in any topic with a critical understanding of truth, beauty and goodness. Wisdom is also for everyday life.”

All of these schools are classical, or liberal arts, schools up to a point. In Australia, every registered school, especially an independent school, needs to follow state and national curricula. But they can still organise much of their school’s effort around classical principles.

All these schools are explicitly Christian. In classical education, the idea of integrated understanding – as a Christian might say, all truth is God’s truth – is a central organising principle. An integrated understanding of the world leads to an integrated human being.

But in the US many classical education schools, and many liberal arts colleges, are not religious. There are 50-odd Great Hearts Charter Schools, funded by government but with a local community given a charter of indepen­dence. They’re not religious but they still study the Great Books. This is not only for religious believers, though much of humanity’s greatest thinking focuses on God.

So what does classical education consist of at the practical level of teaching and content?

From speaking to dozens of teachers, principals, parents, students, movement leaders, education administrators and curriculum developers, I would offer the following summary.

Classical education offers the student an integrated understanding of life, culture, knowledge and the meaning of being a human being. It gives students direct exposure to what English poet Matthew Arnold called “the best that has been thought and said”, the greatest of the Great Books.

It promotes an intellectually sophisticated encounter with these writers through Socratic ­dialogues. It offers the thrill of chronological, deep history and the finest literature. As Crowther comments: “Contemporary education fails in giving students an understanding of how the (modern) world came about.”

Thus, a classical school student may study ancient Greek civilisation in history at the same time as reading ancient Greek plays in literature. If the school teaches philosophy and theology, as many do, that too will be co-ordinated.

Says Crowther: “The unity between subjects is very important in classical education. The modern system is very fragmented. The subjects don’t connect up.”

Socratic dialogue is critical. Students might have read Dostoevsky’s Crime and Punishment, then explore in discussion the nature of evil. This inculcates moral education and accustoms students to disagreeing with each other, profoundly and passionately, but civilly, in friendship.

Many classical schools teach Latin, the most accessible of the classical languages, in which many of the greatest works, from ancient Rome through to the late Middle Ages, are written. Studying Latin helps students master English grammar, and understand the roots and history of words.

In the most junior years, children might begin their classical exposure through Aesop’s Fables or Arthurian legends. In Australian schools they’ll meet Snugglepot and Cuddlepie.

In the early years there’s an emphasis on play, but also on explicit instruction, led by the teacher, and on rote learning. Learning times tables and English grammar provides foundational knowledge, but also exercises brain muscle, memory, attention span.

In the US recently I journeyed out from Washington DC to Annapolis in Maryland, to spend an afternoon and evening with the Chesterton Academy of Annapolis.

I was met at a nearby rail station by Azin Cleary, who founded the school with her husband, Bill. She’s originally Iranian. The family left Iran when Azin was a teenager so her brother could avoid the army in the Iran/Iraq war. In the US she fell in love with Bill, a dashing air force pilot. He wasn’t very religious but told her he wanted to get married in a church, was pro-life, and wanted to bring his kids up Catholic.

Azin was fine with that. She was a disengaged Muslim and felt no pressure to change her religion. It was years later that she herself ­became Christian.

The classical education movement is extremely ecumenical. The Annapolis Chesterton Academy, although a school in the Catholic tradition, rents its space from a Lutheran church, to which it’s a close friend.

Two things are striking. First, it’s named after GK Chesterton, an English journalist – my hero – who died nearly a hundred years ago. Chesterton and CS Lewis, who died in the 1960s, are inspirations to the classical education movement. It reveres them, two of the most prodigiously gifted Christian writers of the 20th century, because they bring everything together. They wrote theology, biography, newspaper columns, novels, poetry, adventure stories, profound theological meditations. And they exuded joy.

The Chesterton schools movement has been going just 15 years but already has 62 high schools in the US and 10 overseas. Bill and Azin hadn’t heard of Chesterton when they were looking for something better for their kids. The Chesterton network provided them a full template for a classical school.

“It’s good to have someone tell you what to do when you don’t know what you’re doing,” Bill says modestly. Now they love Chesterton.

The school’s other striking feature is its no-gadgets policy. Students hand their phones in every morning. But also, throughout their entire school learning, they don’t use laptops, iPads or anything else. The fees are $US11,700 a year. That’s cheaper than many good Catholic schools, but the families typically have iPads and the like at home. The kids all have phones. They get computers. But school time is a screen-free oasis, a time for deep learning.

State school curriculum requirements are much less prescriptive than in Australia so classical schools can design the program they want. At the Chesterton Academy, the curriculum is full and demanding. For all four years of their senior secondary schooling, students study the humanities, maths and science, and the fine arts. In the humanities, they spend what Americans call Freshman Year in the ancient world. In literature: Homer, Aeschylus, Virgil and a book by Chesterton; in history: ancient Greece and Rome; in philosophy: Plato, Aristotle and formal logic; in theology: Old Testament.

In Sophomore Year literature: Augustine, Chaucer, Shakespeare and Chesterton on St Francis and on Orthodoxy; history: early church and early medieval; philosophy: Plato and Aristotle; theology: New Testament.

In Junior Year literature: Dante, Shakespeare, Cervantes, plus Chesterton on Thomas Aquinas; history: Renaissance, Reformation, and Counter-Reformation; philosophy: Aquinas, Descartes, Hobbes; theology: the Catholic Catechism.

And in senior year literature: Goethe, Dickens, Dostoevsky, Orwell, plus Chesterton’s classic, The Everlasting Man; history: American and French Revolutions, US Civil War, World Wars I and II, communist revolutions; philosophy: Locke, Rousseau, US Founding Fathers, Marx and more Chesterton.

In all four years, students study Latin and practise debate, take maths and science, practise and study art (really the history of art), practise and study music, and stage plays, including in senior year a full-length Shakespeare. And of course they play sport.

That is a rich and taxing educational experience. Not every student could manage it, not every school could attempt it. Notice there are no elective choices for students? This is extremely sensible.

When I was at secondary school, English, maths, science and history were compulsory. We could choose an elective combination either of Latin and French, or commerce and geography. I’m profoundly grateful I studied Latin and French and didn’t have elective choices, at age 14, like guitar, environment studies, or, as in some American schools, “forensics”, in which kids actually get to waste their time watching NCIS episodes and pretend it’s school work.

No electives and no gadgets at all, and the students graduating from Chesterton Academy are blitzing college entrance exams and pursuing stellar academic and professional careers. If you can think well and hard, and read deeply, you can master anything.

Some US states actively promote classical education. Florida recognises the Classical Learning Test as the equivalent to the SAT for college admission.

That night I had dinner with Bill and Azin, five of their six kids, Azin’s mum, and a school board member, at the Clearys’ home. They may be the nicest people I’ve ever met. The kids are years ahead of their respective age groups in conversation and sophistication. Nor do they automatically agree with each other, with me, or with their parents. But also, they actually seem to like their parents, and even to find the conversation of a visiting journalist from Australia worth turning up for. The oldest son, Matthew, a college student, after dinner drives me all the way back to Washington and is an ­absorbing conversationalist.

Kids at this Chesterton Academy are lucky. But classical, or liberal arts, education is a broad movement. There are lots of different shades of emphasis, different intensities. Australian liberal arts schools also de-emphasise gadgets. But because NAPLAN assessments have foolishly gone online, no school now can banish gadgets altogether. Some classical schools have classes on gadgets to acquire particular skills, typing or coding, but don’t use them in most classes.

Whereat tells me the science is conclusive. When students take notes by hand they can’t write as quickly as when they type, so they actually have to process and select information much more actively. They learn better taking notes by hand than typing notes on an iPad.

Broadsmith comments: “One of the problems we have is not that students aren’t interested (in deep learning) but they’ve been taught that everything has to be fast and snappy.” Students see devices not as paths to contemplation but as sources of entertainment and distraction. Efforts to ban social media for kids are a tiny recognition that gadgets fry brains.

No Australian school could produce a curriculum like the Chesterton Academy because of the state requirements, which are obviously necessary for accountability but seem to emphasise mediocrity, ideology, narrowness in the faux service of choice, triviality, incoherence.

Claire Whereat tells Inquirer that the Toowoomba Christian College secondary literature curriculum includes Shakespeare, Dickens, Jane Austen, Louisa May Alcott, Pilgrim’s Progress, To Kill a Mocking Bird. They’re all good choices.

She also makes a profound point about teaching history chronologically: “You can’t understand where Australia has come from if you don’t understand the Judeo-Christian background, or the Westminster system.”

All the classical or liberal arts schools teach grammar. She says: “We spend a lot of time looking at beautiful words, looking closely at what words mean, their Latin and Greek roots.”

NSW schools enjoy one happy curriculum freedom because of the legacy of former premier Bob Carr. Monagle says: “Carr saved history as a discipline.”

In other states history has been rolled into geography and social studies and mangled into a thousand incoherent pieces, often at best a few isolated case studies and relentless agitprop.

Carr recalls: “I insisted on maintaining the traditional disciplines. I wanted curriculum rigour. I insisted history remain a separate subject. History could be defined as what happened next and why. I also reinstated traditional grammar, and corrected the retirement of Shakespeare from English courses.”

Carr wrote his own version of a guide to the Great Books in his much-neglected My Reading Life, which is a classic of sorts in Australian letters. He thinks now a suitably supple Great Books approach has a lot to recommend it.

Dedicated classical and liberal arts schools are just beginning in Australia. But existing schools, especially Catholic and Christian schools, are increasingly examining this option. It’s a trend. It’s the future.

In an important recent speech, Sydney Catholic Archbishop Anthony Fisher argued for a move to a more integrated liberal arts approach in Catholic schools. He asked: “How might we cultivate a more expansive educational environment, whereby all academic disciplines interconnect and serve the transmission of faith and development of the whole child?”

In a distressed and bleeding culture, these schools are field hospitals; perhaps more than that – base camps; perhaps more than that – signs of a new creation.

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All my main blogs below:

http://jonjayray.com/covidwatch.html (COVID WATCH)

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM)

http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://antigreen.blogspot.com (GREENIE WATCH)

http://pcwatch.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH)

http://snorphty.blogspot.com (TONGUE-TIED)

https://immigwatch.blogspot.com (IMMIGRATION WATCH)

https://john-ray.blogspot.com/ (FOOD & HEALTH SKEPTIC -- revived)

http://jonjayray.com/select.html (SELECT POSTS)

http://jonjayray.com/short/short.html (Subject index to my blog posts)

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Thursday, September 19, 2024


Clare O’Neil says Greens holding nurses and childcare workers hostage after they managed to delay Help to Buy vote

Greens were right for once. "Help to buy" will simpy jack up prices

Labor has intensified its assault against the Greens after Anthony Albanese was forced to delay a vote on a signature housing bill by two months, with Clare O’Neil accusing the minor party of holding the home ownership aspirations of childcare workers and nurses hostage.

The Prime Minister will visit the Queensland battleground seat of Leichhardt on Thursday to talk up his government’s plans to increase housing supply after the Coalition, One Nation and the United Australia Party’s Ralph Babet backed a Greens amendment to put off a Senate vote on the Help to Buy scheme until November 26.

Independent senators Jacqui Lambie, David Pocock and Tammy Tyrrell sided with Labor to reject the extension, as Mr Albanese warned: “Australians want their leaders to act now to make housing more affordable. This is too important to wait.”

Greens leader Adam Bandt declared the government had two months “to get serious about the housing crisis” and negotiate, while Housing Minister Clare O’Neil insisted the party had offered no amendments.

“What the Greens are doing is holding the aspirations of childcare workers and nurses to own their own home hostage, to generate media and attention,” she said. “This bill is not the silver bullet to Australia’s housing crisis, because there isn’t a silver bullet. Help to Buy is an important piece of the puzzle that would change the lives of 40,000 Australians and their families.”

Under the Help to Buy plan, which was a 2022 Labor election promise, eligible Australians would be able to purchase a home with a minimum deposit of 2 per cent. The government would own up to 40 per cent of a person’s home and recoup its funding, plus its share of capital gain, when the property is sold.

The Greens argue it would help just 0.2 per cent of Australia’s 5.5 million renters and push up housing prices for those who can’t access the program. They have demanded a cap on rent increases, a winding back of negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount and money for a “massive” public housing build in exchange for their support.

As Peter Dutton labelled the tensions between Labor and the Greens a “civil war”, Mr Albanese and Queensland Premier Steven Miles will go to the state’s biggest social housing project – with 490 homes due to be built – ahead of work commencing next week.

“In spite of the No-alition of the Liberals, Nationals, Greens and One Nation we are determined to increase housing supply,” Mr Albanese said.

“This project will deliver hundreds of homes in regional Queensland, while complementing our plan to deliver thousands of homes through our Housing Australia Future Fund all around Australia.”

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ATO on the hunt for personal asset details, data

Robert Gottliebsen

Today I issue a danger alert to all those owning fine art, marine vessels, thoroughbred horses, caravans and motor homes, moderately expensive motor vehicles and aircraft.

The Australian Taxation Office has written to most major insurance brokers demanding details of their customers’ ownership of these assets.

Some insurance brokers, in informing their clients of the ATO demand, have relayed “soothing” words from the ATO (see below), but asset owners should have no doubt the ATO is preparing for an attack.

If the attack uncovers tax evaders and organised criminals, including drug dealers then it is a great event.

But, this action by the ATO raises serious issues and is being undertaken when it still has powers to misuse the information. And it is likely they will exercise those powers.

Knowledge of the ATO action hit my desk on the same day as we saw the incredible advances in technology which led to portable phone explosions, which will make data even less secure — particularly government data.

Currently ATO data holds records of income, expenses, addresses et cetera. But, now the ATO will have record of the money value and likely location of physical assets outside the family home.

The ATO assured insurance brokers the data will be kept safe, but in today’s world no data is safe, particularly data which is incredibly valuable to the criminal world.

And today’s organised criminals have no regard for the safety of the residents in the households they raid.

The very least the ATO should have done was to work with insurance brokers to minimise the data’s value to hackers and criminals.

Private groups around the world are realising — while doing everything possible to safeguard data — the danger, minimising the personal data on file. The ATO heads in the reverse direction.

The Australian Taxation Office is recognised as a world leader in trying to stop international companies from rorting the system, but, despite these efforts, the government will need to change the tax rules to get international companies to pay proper tax.

In the individual and family business arena, Australia has some of the most unfair tax rules in the world, which makes this asset disclosure a very dangerous weapon.

The ATO is already behaving very badly in “fishing” investigations of small and medium sized enterprises which pay their tax. The cost impost on those enterprises is enormous.

When the tax office issues an assessment it becomes an immediate liability and people facing this often fictitious liability have to prove their innocence, usually with no knowledge as to how the fictitious amount was calculated. Again, it’s a high cost exercise.

The ATO rarely uses this power against large corporations who can defend themselves.

The robodebt scandal was a good illustration because it was created by the use of flawed taxation data and ATO prosecution methods, although the ATO itself did not undertake the exercise.

The government should never have allowed this new ATO thrust until proper taxations safeguards were put in place.

I again emphasise that used with proper rules this can be a valuable tool against organised crime and the proceeds of drug distribution, as well as conventional tax avoiders.

I will now quote extracts from a letter to clients by one broker which I have agreed not to name.

Broker: “The notice requires us to provide the ATO with policy holder data for certain insurance policies that were active anytime during the period from July 1 2023 to June 30 2024 covering the following asset classes and value thresholds: Caravans and motor homes ($65,000); motor vehicles ($65,000); thoroughbred horses ($65,000); marine vessels ($100,000); fine art ($100,000 per item), and; aircraft ($150,000).

“The notice also requires provision of the following information to the ATO in respect of those insurance policies covering the above mentioned assets classes and value thresholds: Given name and surname(s); date of birth(s); addresses (residential, postal, other); Australian business number if applicable; email address and contact phone number”.

I would add using only a tax file number and/or business number would provide all the information the ATO needs and would help in data security.

The ATO also wants policy details on each asset, including: its start and end dates; policy cost; total value insured; the purchase price of the property insured; registration number or identification number of the property; a description, including year make and model of vehicles and marine vessels; primary use type and finance or other conditions.

The broker issues these words of comfort: “The ATO has informed us that the data may be used by the ATO in compliance profiling activities to help identify possible compliance issues involving income tax, capital gains tax, fringe benefits tax, GST and superannuation.

“The ATO will not use the data to directly initiate compliance activities but to assist with risk profiling and the identification of cases which present a higher risk.”

Frankly, this is ATO gobbledygook. They will use the data in every way possible — which is why they want so much detail.

The broker also sets out a why the demand is legal and why the broker has no choice but to provide the required information.

The ATO gives the information demand the title “Lifestyle assets data matching program”.

The late George Orwell, author of Animal Farm and 1984 would have been full of admiration for the title, and may have even been a little upset that he didn’t think of it first.

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Divisiveness and dishonesty will unseat the teals

The conventional wisdom, that Peter Dutton can’t win next year’s election in his own right, assumes it’s impossible for the Opposition Leader both to win sufficient aspirational seats off Labor and to ­regain the seven formerly Liberal seats lost to the teals.

The Coalition’s cost-of-living pitch to win seats off Labor, it is thought, will not go over well in the teal seats, where well-to-do voters can afford to maintain luxury beliefs such as putting emissions reduction ahead of reducing power bills.

But this misunderstands what actually happened in 2022. The Liberals did not lose the teal seats because very large numbers of ­Liberal voters have permanently abandoned their longstanding preference for the party of freedom and free enterprise in favour of ­virtual Greens.

What the ANU’s Australian Electoral Study shows, in the most well-respected and in-depth analysis of the 2022 federal election result, is that only one in five people who voted teal had voted Liberal at the previous election; meaning four out of five did not. These weren’t disaffected Liberals – they were never Liberals in the first place. What helped them win was a sophisticated psephological strategy that depended on Labor running dead in seats with strong “independent” candidates, who then harvested Greens and Labor preferences, plus the votes of a much smaller number of discontented Liberals, to get ahead of the sitting Liberal MP.

The question, then, is what factors were at work to depress the Liberal vote back then; and are they likely to be replicated next year?

In 2022, the Coalition had been in office for nine years, had emulated Labor’s political cannibalism with a revolving door prime ministership, had dismayed traditional Liberals by massive spending and unprecedented restrictions on daily life in an over-reaction to the Covid pandemic, and had ­generally conducted themselves as a Labor-lite government, at least after Tony Abbott was deposed as leader.

As well, the voters who had been prepared to give Scott Morrison the benefit of the doubt in 2019, when Labor was promising extra taxes on investors and retirees, had a very different view after three years of his prime ministership and Labor was pretending to be a safe change.

While it’s true that there has been a long-term tendency, across the Anglosphere, for richer and more educated people to vote more to the left, and for poorer people to vote more to the right, a key factor in the teals’ favour was Morrison’s personal unpopularity and the fact that voting teal was a way to punish a disappointing government without actually voting Labor.

If only half of the 2022 Liberal defectors were long-term political emigrants to the left, as opposed to one-off malcontents who could come back, given that most of the teal seats are held with margins of under 5 per cent, there’s every reason to think that some will indeed return, at least with the right ­candidates. These are unlikely to be hardline conservatives or factional time-servers, but could be the kind of centre-right high achiever who used to abound in Liberal preselections before the party became so factionalised.

After all, if better-off voters want to register their disapproval of a government that pretended to be in the tradition of Bob Hawke but has governed more in the style of Gough Whitlam – by giving in to unions, breaking promises on tax cuts, weakening national security, and running an out-of-­control immigration program, including gifting visas to people from Gaza without any serious security checks – they can’t do so by voting teal. If anything, in the event of a hung parliament, teal candidates will almost certainly line up behind the green-left ­Albanese government. So, the only way to register a protest against a bad Labor government is to vote Liberal, not teal.

In 2022, the teals’ pitch to previously Liberal voters was that they were the candidates that the Liberals should have had, were it not for the malign influence of vested interests, factions, and politics as usual.

In fairness to the candidates whom Simon Holmes a Court and his Climate 200 cohorts were politically savvy enough to endorse, they all had strong CVs, and looked reasonably representative of the progressive professionals who disproportionately live in up-market seats; without seeming like climate fanatics. But that’s not how they’ve turned out. In fact, based on their voting records, and on their public demands, they’ve been far more left-wing than Labor.

Based on public data produced by the Parliamentary Library, the teals’ closest political collaborators are not the Labor Party (they’ve voted with Labor about 70 per cent of the time on substantive matters before the parliament) but the Greens. On substantive bills before the parliament, they’ve voted with the Greens almost 80 per cent of the time.

What’s more, the teals’ most recent major public statement has been to attack the Albanese ­government for reneging on its commitment to declare a 2035 emissions-reduction target pre-election; and also to demand that the government commit to a full 75 per cent target in just over a ­decade. Sure, especially in teal seats, quite a few Liberal voters think that climate change is a key issue. But are they really going to stick with teal MPs who want to go further than Labor, especially given that Dutton is committed to net zero by 2050 and has a credible plan to get there, while keeping the lights on, by using nuclear power?

Now that they’ve been in the public eye for some time, the teals’ real political orientation is much clearer. It’s not just that they want stronger action on climate change than that proposed by the Morrison government; they also want stronger action than that proposed by the Albanese government, as well. Reading their parliamentary maiden speeches, for instance, they weren’t just supporters of the Indigenous voice but enthusiastic and passionate backers of the full Uluru – Voice, Treaty, Truth – agenda; and their enthusiasm for Indigenous separatism and their belief that Australian society is deeply flawed doesn’t seem to have been reconsidered in the light of the voice’s overwhelming defeat.

On this issue, too, they don’t just want stronger action than that proposed by the Morrison government but stronger action than that now proposed by the ­Albanese one.

Then there’s the shop-soil factor that afflicts all MPs, especially those who enter the parliament claiming to be morally better than everyone else. For someone accustomed to decry bad behaviour in the parliament, Zali Steggall’s recent slur, that Peter Dutton was somehow being “racist”, was especially unworthy. So, too, the continued claims of a “misogynistic” parliament. Sorry, girls, parliament is adversarial and that’s not the same thing. The battle of ideas is fundamental to our democracy, and to try to shame MPs into some sort of forced consensus because you don’t like having to argue your case or defend positions only ­underscores a lack of values and conviction.

My instinct is that, in the longer run, voters prefer politicians who are honest about where they stand and who are clearly different from their competitors. Labor-lite Liberals generally end up alienating traditional Liberal voters without winning over Labor ones. After all, voters normally prefer the genuine article to pretenders trying to be all things to everyone.

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WA loosens domestic gas restrictions but only until 2030

Any deregulation is good

Onshore gas projects in Western Australia will be allowed to sell 20 per cent of new supplies overseas via lucrative LNG contracts but only until 2030 and then the practice will be prohibited.

The policy tweak means the state Labor government has bowed to pressure from proposed developers who have warned they will not move to bolster supplies without being able to tap into lucrative export markets.

However, it remains unclear whether the loosening of the domestic gas policy will be sufficient for the likes of Strike Energy and Mineral Resources, which have both said rules must be changed to encourage them to drill for new supplies.

WA faces a looming gas shortage, with a recent state government report finding the state is staring at a 30 per cent shortfall over the next decade.

Developers have said the current requirement that 15 per cent of supplies remain in the state is too onerous and should be changed, and that would incentivise them to spend billions of dollars on new developments.

In a compromise, the WA Labor government will announce that new or expanded developments will be able to sell 20 per cent of supplies via LNG cargoes until 2030 and then developers will be unable to tap the overseas markets.

Caroline Cherry, WA director at the Australian Energy Producers, said the changes were sensible and measured.

“The Cook government has listened to the concerns of industry about ensuring reliable and affordable energy for the state and pulled the levers to bring on more new gas supply to serve rising demand for gas in coming years,” Ms Cherry said.

“More gas will be needed to serve rising demand supporting renewables in electricity generation as coal is phased out while underpinning the economic benefits produced by the mining sector as a key power source.”

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All my main blogs below:

http://jonjayray.com/covidwatch.html (COVID WATCH)

http://dissectleft.blogspot.com (DISSECTING LEFTISM)

http://edwatch.blogspot.com (EDUCATION WATCH)

http://antigreen.blogspot.com (GREENIE WATCH)

http://pcwatch.blogspot.com (POLITICAL CORRECTNESS WATCH)

http://snorphty.blogspot.com (TONGUE-TIED)

https://immigwatch.blogspot.com (IMMIGRATION WATCH)

https://john-ray.blogspot.com/ (FOOD & HEALTH SKEPTIC -- revived)

http://jonjayray.com/select.html (SELECT POSTS)

http://jonjayray.com/short/short.html (Subject index to my blog posts)

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